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World Modeling - Sustainability vs Collapse2016VT
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Course plan
No of lectures
Interactive Lectures
42 hours
7 6-hour sessions, e.g.
10.15 - 17.00 or 9.15-17.00 or 8.15-15.00; See the schedule on the home page.
A few small project assignments
One medium-sized project assignment on modeling world models, and possibly
optimize world models to achieve sustainability.
Recommended for
Ph.D. students and practitioners in engineering, natural sciences, societal sciences, economics, and/or computer science.
The course was last given
New Course
Goals
After the course, students should be able to:
• Describe basic concepts in equation-based system modeling.
• Describe basic concepts in World modeling.
• Describe basic concepts and factors behind societal and ecological
collapse.
• Design a simple world model, using the Modelica modeling language.
• Model, analyze, simulate, and optimize (towards sustainability) one or
more World system models.
• Describe the concept of sensitivity analysis and apply it to world
model scenarios.
• Describe basic concepts in planetary ecological boundaries and (sudden)
transitions between ecological system states.
• Model the possibility of an ecological system transition in a world
model and simulate it.
• Perform environmental and lifecycle design and management of a system.
Prerequisites
General undergraduate level knowledge in engineering, mathematics, programming, natural sciences.
Organization
Lectures integrated with interactive exercises and 1-2 small/medium project assignments.
Contents
This is an introductory course in world modeling and simulation as well as its use to understand societal and ecological sustainability and collapse. The course includes a short introduction to equation-based modeling and system dynamics, which is generally useful in a range of application areas. The course includes well known world modeling approaches such as the Limits of Growth World3 model, and an overview and analysis of historical societies which collapsed or managed to achieve sustainability. The course also gives an introduction to the concepts of sustainability analysis and system optimization (towards sustainability) applied to world modeling.
Literature
The course will use a set of resources on theoretical se well as practical
matters pertaining to World modeling and societal sustainability and collapse.
• Donella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Denis Meadows. Limits to Growth:
The 30-Year Update. 368p. Chelsea Green, 2004.
• Ugo Bardi. The Limits of Growth Revisited. Springer, 2011.
• Jared Diamond. Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed:
Revised Edition. 2011.
• Johan Rockström and Mattias Klum. Big World, Small Planet: Abundance
within Planetary Boundaries. Sept. 2015.
• Peter Fritzson. Principles of Object-Oriented Modeling and Simulation
with Modelica 3.3. Wiley-IEEE Press, 2014. Selected parts. (Two to three
chapters will be downloadable from www.openmodelica.org)
• The DrModelica Interactive Electronic Notebook, downloadable from
www.openmodelica.org
• Selected publications on lifecycle management and engineering
Lecturers
Course staff (tentative)
Peter Fritzson, IDA/PELAB
Rodrigo Castro, University of Buenos Aires and guest researcher at IDA/ PELAB
Ola Leifler, IDA/ PELAB
Bernhard Thiele, IDA/ PELAB
Björn-Ola Linnér, TEMA, LIU
Tomohiko Sakao, IEI/Environmental Technology and Management
Invited Lecturer: Sarah Cornell, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm
University
Invited Lecturer: Ugo Bardi, University of Florence, Italy
Examiner
Peter Fritzson, Rodrigo Castro, Ola Leifler, Tomohiko Sakao, Bernhard Thiele, Björn-Ola Linnér
Examination
Small project assignment on world modeling and simulation, with an individual oral examination on theoretical matter and project assignments at the end of the course.
Credit
6 credits (hp)
It is possible to get 1-2 extra credits for a small project of your own choice
People who already know Modelica can/should skip the one Modelica course day
and the associated theoretical matter. However, to compensate, they should
suggest a small project or related theoretical matter of their own choice, to
be approved by the course leader.
Comments
The course will be open for PhD students and practitioners from all departments at LiU, most notably IDA, TEMA, and IEI, as well as from other universities, institutes, companies.
Page responsible: Director of Graduate Studies
