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Current research areas: |
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Forensic statistics: Evidence evaluation,
Quality assessment, Sampling |
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Food and Environment: Statistical
modelling and Sampling |
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Methods: |
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Resampling, Bayesian hypothesis testing,
Bayesian networks |
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Current international projects: |
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“Implementation of Nuclear Techniques to
Improve Food Traceability” CRP D5.20.37. Joint FAO/IAEA
Division on Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture. |
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“Integrated analytical approaches to assess
indicators of the effectiveness of pesticide management practices” CRP
D5.20.35. Joint FAO/IAEA Division on Nuclear
Techniques in Food and Agriculture. |
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Recent contributions to conferences and
meetings: |
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Date and place |
Conference/meeting |
Contribution(s) |
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SPTM2011. Ninth annual meeting
of the ENFSI marks working group |
Contributed
Talk: “Construction of a scale of conclusions ant its use
for all types of forensic evidence” |
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Aug 30 – |
ISFG2011. 24th
World Congress of the International Society for Forensic Genetics |
Contributed
poster: “’Blame the brother’-Assessment of forensic DNA
evidence when alternative explanations have different likelihoods” (with R. Hedell and R. Ansell) Contributed
poster: “’Discrepancies between forensic DNA databases”
(with R. Hedell and R. Ansell) |
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FORSTAT
2011. Fifth workshop on forensic
evidence and statistical evaluation |
Invited talk: Scales
of reporting the value of evidence |
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List of publications: |
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Publication |
Journal/ Proceed./ Tech.Rep. |
Peer-reviewed |
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Nordgaard A., Hedell R., Ansell R. Assessment of forensic findings when
alternative explanations have different likelihoods –
“Blame-the-brother”-syndrome. Science
and Justice 2012. [doi:10.1016/j.scijus.2011.12.001] |
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Nordgaard A., Hedberg K., Widén C, Ansell R. (2012).Comments
on ”The database search problem” with respect to a recent publication in
Forensic Science International. Letter to the editor. Forensic Science International 217: e32-e33. [doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2011.11.023] |
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Nordgaard
A., Ansell R., Drotz W.,
Jaeger L. (2012) Scale of conclusions for the value of evidence. Law, Probability and Risk 11(1):
1-24. [doi:10.1093/lpr/mgr020] |
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Nordgaard A. (2011). Resultatvärdering med
Bayesianska nätverk. Kriminalteknik 4, 2011. Statens Kriminaltekniska Laboratorium, |
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Lundquist P., Nordgaard A. (2011). Statistisk analys av narkotikahalter i
material från polisbeslag analyserade på SKL. SKL Rapport 2011:12. Statens Kriminaltekniska Laboratorium, Linköping, Sweden. |
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Digréus P., Andersson A-C., Nilsson J., Dufva
C., Nordgaard A., Ansell R. (2011). Contamination
monitoring in the forensic DNA laboratory and a simple graphical model for
unbiased EPG classification. Forensic Science International: Genetics,
Supplement Series, 2011;3:e299-e300 |
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Hedell R., Nordgaard A., Ansell R. (2011). Discrepancies
between forensic DNA databases. Forensic
Science International: Genetics, Supplement Series, 2011;3:e135-e136 |
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Nordgaard A. (2011) SKL:s
utlåtandeskala. Kriminalteknik 2,2011. Statens Kriminaltekniska Laboratorium,
Linköping, Sweden. |
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Nordgaard A.
& Höglund T. (2011). Assessment of Approximate
Likelihood Ratios from Continuous Distributions: A Case Study of Digital
Camera Identification. Journal of Forensic Sciences 56(2):
390-402. |
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Hedman J., Ansell R., Nordgaard A. (2010). A ranking index for quality assessment of
forensic DNA profiles. BMC Research Notes 2010 3:290. |
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Nordgaard A., Wistedt I., Drotz W., Elmqvist J., Höglund T., Jaeger
L., Torbjörnsson M., Palmborg
J., Sullivan S., Wigilius I. (2010). Uppfattning av
värdeord i sakkunnigutlåtanden – En studie genomförd bland olika aktörer i
rättsprocessen i Sverige. SKL Rapport 2010:01. Statens Kriminaltekniska
Laboratorium, Linköping, Sweden. |
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Hedman J., Nordgaard A., Dufva C., Rasmusson B., Ansell R. & Rådström
P. (2010). Synergy between DNA polymerases increases polymerase chain
reaction inhibitor tolerance in forensic DNA analysis. Analytical
Biochemistry 405: 192-200. |
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Hedman J,. Nordgaard A., Rasmusson B., Ansell R. &
Rådström P. (2009). Improved forensic DNA analysis through
the use of alternative DNA polymerases and statistical modeling
of DNA profiles. Biotechniques 47
(5): 951-958. |
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Nordgaard A.
& Grimvall A. (2006). A resampling technique
for estimating the power of non-parametric trend tests. Environmetrics
17: 257-267 |
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Nordgaard A.
(2005). Quantifying experience in sample size determination for drug analysis
of seized drugs. Law, Probability and Risk 4: 217-225. |
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Nordgaard A.
(2003) Impact of Sampling Frequency on the Power of Nonparametric Tests for
Water Quality Trends. In: The Information Society and Enlargement of the
European Union, part 2 (A. Gnauck, R. Heindrich, eds.).
Metropolis-Verlag, |
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Libiseller C.
& Nordgaard A. (2002). Variance Reduction for
Trend Analysis of Hydrochemical Data in Brackish
Waters. In: Environmental Communication in the Information Society, part 1
(W. Pillmann, K. Tochtermann,
eds.) ISEP, |
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Nordgaard A.
(1996). Computer-intensive methods for dependent observations. PhD thesis.
Linköping Studies in Science and Technology. Dissertations No. 209. |
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Nordgaard A.
& Hjorth U. (1993). Statistical extrapolation
of nutrient concentrations in the |
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Nordgaard A. (1992).
Resampling Stochastic Processes using a Bootstrap Approach. In: Bootstrapping
and Related Techniques (K.H. Jöckel, G. Rothe, W. Sendler, eds.) Lecture notes in Econometrics and
Mathematical Systems 376. |
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Reviewing: |
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Dissertations: |
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Abdullah Almasri,
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Half-time
review: |
Andreas Tillmar,
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Licentiate
theses: |
Yulia Yurgens, |
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Panagiotis Mantalos, |
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Papers: |
6 manuscripts (Forensic Science
International (2), Journal of Chemometrics (2), Analytica Chimica Acta (1), Aquatic Living Resources (1)) |
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All contributions to conferences and
meetings |
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Date and place |
Conference/meeting |
Contribution(s) |
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SPTM2011. Ninth annual
meeting of the ENFSI marks working group |
Contributed
Talk: “Construction of a scale of conclusions
ant its use for all types of forensic evidence” |
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|
Aug 30 – |
ISFG2011. 24th World Congress
of the International Society for Forensic Genetics |
Contributed
poster: “’Blame the brother’-Assessment of
forensic DNA evidence when alternative explanations have different
likelihoods” (with R. Hedell and R. Ansell) Contributed
poster: “’Discrepancies between forensic DNA
databases” (with R. Hedell and R. Ansell) |
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FORSTAT 2011. Fifth workshop on
forensic evidence and statistical evaluation |
Invited
talk: Scales of reporting the value of
evidence |
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ESWG 2010 (English-Speaking Working Group of the International Society of
Forensic Genetics) |
Invited talk: "The forensic DNA profile index - a tool for comparison of electropherograms" (with J. Hedman
and R. Ansell) |
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June 25, 2010, Universidad de
Margarita, Venezuela |
Short course on Sampling (in
association with TIES2010, see below) |
Lectures (with R. Correll) |
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The 21st Annual Conference
of The International Environmetrics Society |
Invited talk: "Change-point detection in environmental time series –A Bayesian
approach" (with Du Yang) |
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5th |
Invited talk: "Ordinal scales of conclusions for the value of evidence"
(with R. Ansell, L. Jaeger and |
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The 7th International
Conference on Forensic Inference and Statistics |
Contributed talk: "The use of likelihood ratios in digital camera
identification" (with T. Höglund) |
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Statistisk metod & analys - Skarpsynt utredning
genom träffsäker datainsamling, IQPC |
Invited talk: "Hållbar
utveckling - aktuella statistiska utmaningar och problem i arbetet med
miljöfrågor och utvecklingsövervakning" |
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56th Session of The
International Statistical Institute |
Invited talk: "Resampling species-wise collected abundance data for flexible
assessment of changes in biodiversity" Special contributed talk: "Uncertainty in water quality data and its implications for
trend detection" (with K. Wahlin and A. Grimvall) |
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The 17th Annual Conference
of The International Environmetrics Society |
Invited talk: "Resampling species-wise abundance data" |
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March, 2005, |
The 6th International
Conference on Forensic Statistics |
Contributed talk: "Sample-size Determination for Analysis of Ecstasy Pills" |
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Aug, 2004, |
COMPSTAT 2004 |
Contributed talk: "A resampling technique for estimating the power of
non-parametric trend tests" |
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Nov 2003, |
The 14th Annual Conference
of The International Environmetrics Society |
Contributed talk: "Power of non-parametric trend tests -- a semi-parametric
approach" |
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Sep 2003, |
17th International
Conference, Informatics for Environmental Protection |
Contributed talk: "Impact of sampling frequencies on the power of nonparametric
tests for water quality trends" |
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June 2003, |
SPRUCE VI, International
conference |
Contributed talk: "Impact of sampling frequency on the power of nonparametric
tests for water quality trends" |
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Sep 2002, |
16th International
Conference, Informatics for Environmental Protection |
Contributed talk: "Variance Reduction for Trend Analysis of Hydrochemical
Data in Brackish Waters" (with C. Libiseller) |
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June 2002, |
Short course on Estimation
of human impact on the environment (in association with TIES2002) |
Tutorials |
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June 2002, |
NORDSTAT 2002 |
Contributed talk: "Variance reduction for trend analysis" (with C. Libiseller) |
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Aug 2001, |
The 12th Annual Conference
of The International Environmetrics Society |
Contributed talk: "Geostatistical normalisation of
nutrient concentrations in marine environments" (with A. Grimvall) |
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March 2001, |
8th International Meeting
on Statistical Climatology |
Contributed talk: "Simulating meteorological data by block resampling" (with
Å. Forsman and A. Grimvall) |
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Sep 2000, |
The 11th Annual Conference of
The International Environmetrics Society (jointly
with SPRUCE) |
Contributed talk: "Trends in depth profiles of marine hydro-chemical data"
(with A. Grimvall) |
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Aug 1995, |
21st European Meeting of
Statisticians |
Contributed talk: "Resampling the empirical spectral measure" |
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Aug 1992, |
The 4th Annual Conference
of The International Environmetrics Society |
Contributed talk: "Statistical extrapolation of nutrient concentrations in the |
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June 1990, |
International conference on
Bootstrapping and Related Techniques |
Contributed talk: "Resampling Stochastic Processes using a Bootstrap Approach" |
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